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Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won

12 outcomes · ranked

$279K traded
PL
88%
MDB
11%
UNIÃO
1%
PT
1%
PODEMOS
0%
PDT
0%
PSD
0%
PP
0%
PSB
0%
REPUBLICANOS
0%
PSDB
0%
NOVO
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
73%PL · +15 pts over period88%

What this means

Across 12 outcomes, the market's favourite is PL at 88%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election. Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered. In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Brazilian Senate, not by any federation or coalition it may be a part of. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of…

Resolves: Oct 4, 2026

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