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Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

5 outcomes · ranked

$262K traded
Elif Eralp
81%
Stefan Evers
14%
Werner Graf
1%
Steffen Krach
0%
Kristin Brinker
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
73%Elif Eralp · +8 pts over period81%

What this means

Across 5 outcomes, the market's favourite is Elif Eralp at 81%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolves: Jun 1, 2027

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