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PoliticsGlobal ElectionsQuebecElections

Next Premier of Quebec

7 outcomes · ranked

$226K traded
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon
69%
Christine Fréchette
22%
Charles Milliard
8%
Bernard Drainville
0%
Sol Zanetti
0%
Ruba Ghazal
0%
Éric Duhaime
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
67%Paul St-Pierre Plamondon · +2 pts over period69%

What this means

Across 7 outcomes, the market's favourite is Paul St-Pierre Plamondon at 69%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolves: Oct 5, 2026

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