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PoliticsSerbiaPoliticsElections

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

10 outcomes · ranked

$311K traded
Aleksandar Vučić
53%
Ilija Srdanović
47%
Vladan Đokić
1%
Dragan Đilas
0%
Đuro Macut
0%
Branimir Jovanović
0%
Ana Brnabić
0%
Ivica Dačić
0%
Miloš Vučević
0%
Stefan Krkobabić
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
64%Aleksandar Vučić · -11 pts over period53%

What this means

Across 10 outcomes, the market's favourite is Aleksandar Vučić at 53%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected by the National Assembly and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who is not elected by the National Assembly will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Serbian government.

Resolves: Jun 30, 2028

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