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PoliticsSpainPoliticsElections

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

16 outcomes · ranked

$308K traded
Alberto Núñez Feijóo
81%
Pedro Sánchez
17%
Isabel Díaz Ayuso
2%
Yolanda Díaz
0%
María Jesús Montero
0%
Ernest Urtasun
0%
Miguel Tellado
0%
Ester Muñoz
0%
Santiago Abascal
0%
Pepa Millán
0%
Cuca Gamarra
0%
Aitor Esteban
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
80%Alberto Núñez Feijóo · +1 pts over period81%

What this means

Across 16 outcomes, the market's favourite is Alberto Núñez Feijóo at 81%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolves: Apr 1, 2028

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