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Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026?

10 outcomes · ranked

$685K traded
Ed Miliband
52%
Pat McFadden
15%
Yvette Cooper
12%
Shabana Mahmood
7%
Wes Streeting
6%
Darren Jones
0%
No next Chancellor in 2026
0%
Louise Haigh
0%
Torsten Bell
0%
John Healey
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
45%Ed Miliband · +7 pts over period52%

What this means

Across 10 outcomes, the market's favourite is Ed Miliband at 52%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Chancellor of the Exchequer will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chancellor of the Exchequer is appointed, or Rachel Reeves is re-appointed as Chancellor of the Exchequer, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Chancellor in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolves: Dec 31, 2026

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