Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?
22 outcomes · ranked
$16.1M tradedProbability over time
last 30 daysWhat this means
Across 22 outcomes, the market's favourite is Andy Burnham at 99%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.
How this resolves
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.