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Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by...?

2 outcomes · ranked

$253K traded
March 31, 2027
25%
December 31, 2026
20%

Probability over time

last 30 days
18%March 31, 2027 · +7 pts over period25%

What this means

Across 2 outcomes, the market's favourite is March 31, 2027 at 25%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Resolves: Apr 1, 2027

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