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Paraná Governor Election Winner

9 outcomes · ranked

$307K traded
Sergio Moro
99%
Sandro Alex
1%
Requião Filho
0%
Rafael Greca
0%
Guto Silva
0%
Alexandre Curi
0%
Beto Richa
0%
Enio Verri
0%
Luiz França
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
83%Sergio Moro · +16 pts over period99%

What this means

Across 9 outcomes, the market's favourite is Sergio Moro at 99%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Closed Oct 5, 2026 · awaiting resolution

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