Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner
7 outcomes · ranked
$1.9M tradedByron Donalds
96%
James Fishback
3%
Wilton Simpson
0%
Jay Collins
0%
Casey DeSantis
0%
Jimmy Patronis
0%
Matt Gaetz
0%
Probability over time
last 30 daysWhat this means
Across 7 outcomes, the market's favourite is Byron Donalds at 96%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.
How this resolves
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolves: Aug 18, 2026
More in Politics
Politicsflat
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin Newsom
20%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
12%
Jon Ossoff
10%
24 outcomes$1.2B vol
Politics+1 pt
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. Vance
39%
Marco Rubio
26%
Tucker Carlson
3%
24 outcomes$668.8M vol
Politics+1 pt
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance
20%
Marco Rubio
16%
Gavin Newsom
12%
24 outcomes$646.6M vol