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PoliticsBrazilPoliticsElections

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner

15 outcomes · ranked

$238K traded
Eduardo Paes
95%
Douglas Ruas
3%
Rafa Luz
1%
Felipe Curi
1%
Fred Pacheco
0%
Dr. Luizinho
0%
Tarcísio Motta
0%
Wilson Witzel
0%
Lindbergh Farias
0%
André Ceciliano
0%
Chico Machado
0%
Eduardo Pazuello
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
81%Eduardo Paes · +14 pts over period95%

What this means

Across 15 outcomes, the market's favourite is Eduardo Paes at 95%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Resolves: Oct 5, 2026

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