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Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

2 outcomes · ranked

$874K traded
December 31
83%
October 31
53%

Probability over time

last 30 days
96%December 31 · -13 pts over period83%

What this means

Across 2 outcomes, the market's favourite is December 31 at 83%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolves: Jan 1, 2027

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