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SAVE Act becomes law by...?

Very unlikely

-5 pts$562K traded

Probability over time

last 30 days
11%Yes · -7 pts over period4%

What this means

Traders currently price this at 4% — the market's collective estimate that it happens. The market leans toward no. Over the last 7 days the odds moved -5 pts.

How this resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any bill, measure, or resolution that requires proof of U.S. citizenship as a condition for registering to vote in U.S. federal elections is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law, or is otherwise enacted into U.S. federal law, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Examples of qualifying legislation include H.R. 22, the “SAVE Act,” and H.R. 7296, the “SAVE America Act.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolves: Jan 1, 2027

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