H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
2%chance of yes
Probability over time
last 30 daysWhat this means
Traders currently price this at 2% — the market's collective estimate that it happens. The market leans toward no. Over the last 7 days the odds moved -2 pts.
How this resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolves: Jan 1, 2027Source of truth: https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22
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