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Serbia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

5 outcomes · ranked

$329K traded
66-70%
96%
70%+
3%
<58%
0%
58-62%
0%
62-66%
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
27%66-70% · +69 pts over period96%

What this means

Across 5 outcomes, the market's favourite is 66-70% at 96%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2023 example: https://publikacije.stat.gov.rs/G2024/Pdf/G20246006.pdf). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be official information published by the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia (Republička izborna komisija, https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/).

Closed Oct 25, 2026 · awaiting resolutionSource of truth: https://publikacije.stat.gov.rs/G2024/Pdf/G20246006.pdf

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