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Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

10 outcomes · ranked

$313K traded
Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia
62%
Student List – Students Win
39%
Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability!
0%
Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP)
0%
Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor
0%
Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification
0%
Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić
0%
Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović
0%
European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš
0%
SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
50%Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia · +12 pts over period62%

What this means

Across 10 outcomes, the market's favourite is Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia at 62%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve to the electoral list that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Serbia as a result of this election. Electoral lists will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more lists are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If lists remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the list that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named electoral list, as it appears on the ballot and official proclamations, regardless of which…

Resolves: Oct 25, 2026Source of truth: https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/

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