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Spain General Election Winner

5 outcomes · ranked

$300K traded
PP
87%
PSOE
12%
Vox
0%
Broad Front (FA)
0%
Podemos
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
90%PP · -3 pts over period87%

What this means

Across 5 outcomes, the market's favourite is PP at 87%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

Legislative elections to elect the 350 members of the Congress of Deputies of Spain are scheduled to take place on November 29, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of Deputies of Spain as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by November 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. Parties will be ranked by the number of seats won by their electoral lists (candidaturas) nationwide in this election, attributed as set out below. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by their lists nationwide, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that oc…

Resolves: Nov 30, 2026

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