PoliticsMonthlyMonthly HitS&P 500

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

14 outcomes · ranked

$316K traded

↓ $7,400

74%

↑ $8,000

70%

↓ $7,200

65%

↓ $7,000

61%

↑ $8,200

35%

↓ $6,000

17%

↓ $6,200

16%

↑ $8,600

11%

↓ $5,800

↓ $5,200

↑ $9,000

↑ $9,300

Probability over time

last 30 days

50%↓ $7,400 · +24 pts over period74%

Across 14 outcomes, the market's favourite is ↓ $7,400 at 74%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December 2026?

Resolves: Dec 31, 2026Source of truth: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/