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PoliticsMonthlyMonthly HitS&P 500

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

14 outcomes · ranked

$396K traded
↑ $8,000
55%
↓ $7,400
42%
↓ $7,200
28%
↑ $8,200
27%
↓ $7,000
21%
↑ $8,600
8%
↓ $6,000
7%
↓ $6,200
6%
↓ $5,800
6%
↑ $9,000
5%
↑ $9,300
4%
↑ $10,000
3%

Probability over time

last 30 days
60%↑ $8,000 · -5 pts over period55%

What this means

Across 14 outcomes, the market's favourite is ↑ $8,000 at 55%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December 2026?

Resolves: Dec 31, 2026Source of truth: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/

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