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Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

8 outcomes · ranked

$574K traded
Moderate Party (M)
100%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
0%
Centre Party (C)
0%
Left Party (V)
0%
Christian Democrats (KD)
0%
Green Party (MP)
0%
Liberals (L)
0%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
14%Moderate Party (M) · +85 pts over period100%

What this means

Across 8 outcomes, the market's favourite is Moderate Party (M) at 100%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the results of th…

Closed Sep 13, 2026 · awaiting resolution

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