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PoliticsVermont MidtermGovernor ElectionsElections

Vermont Governor Election Winner

2 outcomes · ranked

$227K traded
Phil Scott (R)
75%
Amanda Janoo (D)
25%

Probability over time

last 30 days
87%Phil Scott (R) · -11 pts over period75%

What this means

Across 2 outcomes, the market's favourite is Phil Scott (R) at 75%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Resolves: Nov 4, 2026

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