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What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?

6 outcomes · ranked

$620K traded
↑ $6,000
8%
↑ $7,000
6%
↑ $12,000
4%
↑ $15,000
4%
↑ $8,000
3%
↑ $10,000
3%

Probability over time

last 30 days
18%↑ $6,000 · -10 pts over period8%

What this means

Across 6 outcomes, the market's favourite is ↑ $6,000 at 8%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to de…

Resolves: Dec 31, 2026

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