What will Trump say this week? (October 5 - October 11)
1%chance of yes
Probability over time
last 30 daysWhat this means
Traders currently price this at 1% — the market's collective estimate that it happens. The market leans toward no. Over the last 7 days the odds moved -73 pts.
How this resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between October 5, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Closed Oct 11, 2026 · awaiting resolution
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