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Which states will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

24 outcomes · ranked

$321K traded
South Carolina
98%
Alabama
56%
Indiana
54%
New Hampshire
54%
Arkansas
50%
Nebraska
50%
Maine
50%
Oklahoma
50%
Louisiana
48%
Missouri
44%
Montana
44%
West Virginia
43%

Probability over time

last 30 days
82%South Carolina · +16 pts over period98%

What this means

Across 24 outcomes, the market's favourite is South Carolina at 98%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the listed state between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state’s airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Resolves: Dec 31, 2026

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