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Which states will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

24 outcomes · ranked

$315K traded
California
61%
Illinois
57%
South Carolina
56%
Louisiana
54%
Minnesota
52%
New Hampshire
50%
Arkansas
50%
Indiana
50%
Utah
49%
Missouri
47%
Nebraska
47%
Idaho
46%

Probability over time

last 30 days
77%California · -16 pts over period61%

What this means

Across 24 outcomes, the market's favourite is California at 61%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the listed state between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state’s airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Resolves: Dec 31, 2026

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