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Which states will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

22 outcomes · ranked

$328K traded
Kansas
94%
Montana
92%
Mississippi
54%
New Hampshire
53%
Utah
51%
Indiana
50%
Louisiana
50%
West Virginia
49%
Arkansas
47%
Missouri
46%
Minnesota
45%
New Mexico
45%

Probability over time

last 30 days
29%Kansas · +65 pts over period94%

What this means

Across 22 outcomes, the market's favourite is Kansas at 94%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the listed state between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state’s airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Resolves: Jan 2, 2027Source of truth: https://twitter.com/POTUS

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