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PoliticsAugust 18 PrimariesUS ElectionPolitics

Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?

18 outcomes · ranked

$273K traded
Bernadette Wilson
99%
Dave Bronson
97%
Lesil McGuire
29%
Click Bishop
21%
Treg Taylor
9%
James Parkin
3%
Adam Crum
2%
Shelley Hughes
2%
Bill Walker
1%
Bruce Walden
1%
Edna DeVries
1%
Destry J. Payne Sr.
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
76%Bernadette Wilson · +23 pts over period99%

What this means

Across 18 outcomes, the market's favourite is Bernadette Wilson at 99%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.

Closed Aug 18, 2026 · awaiting resolution

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