Skip to content
PoliticsAugust 18 PrimariesUS ElectionPolitics

Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?

20 outcomes · ranked

$219K traded
Tom Begich
93%
Bernadette Wilson
72%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
67%
Dave Bronson
54%
Click Bishop
42%
Lesil McGuire
38%
Bill Walker
25%
Treg Taylor
17%
Adam Crum
8%
Matt Heilala
8%
Shelley Hughes
4%
Hank Kroll
2%

Probability over time

last 30 days
94%Tom Begich · -2 pts over period93%

What this means

Across 20 outcomes, the market's favourite is Tom Begich at 93%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.

Resolves: Aug 18, 2026

More in Politics