Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
24 outcomes · ranked
$502K tradedDonald Brodie
30%
Stefan Brodie
18%
Ryan Salame
14%
Keonne Rodriguez
12%
Matt Gaetz
9%
Steve Bannon
7%
Roger Stone
6%
Roger Ver
6%
Joe Exotic
6%
Julian Assange
5%
Bob Menendez
5%
Elizabeth Holmes
5%
Probability over time
last 30 daysWhat this means
Across 24 outcomes, the market's favourite is Donald Brodie at 30%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.
How this resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolves: Jan 1, 2027
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