María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
28%chance of yes
Probability over time
last 30 daysWhat this means
Traders currently price this at 28% — the market's collective estimate that it happens. The market leans toward no. Over the last 7 days the odds moved -13 pts.
How this resolves
If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and Janaury 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Closed Jan 31, 2026 · awaiting resolution
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