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PoliticsTrump-MachadoTrumpVenezuela

María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?

3 outcomes · ranked

$6.6M traded
December 31
34%
October 31
9%
October 15
3%

Probability over time

last 30 days
36%December 31 · -2 pts over period34%

What this means

Across 3 outcomes, the market's favourite is December 31 at 34%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and Janaury 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolves: Jan 1, 2027

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