Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of Victory (0.2% Brackets)
11 outcomes · ranked
$219K tradedProbability over time
last 30 daysWhat this means
Across 11 outcomes, the market's favourite is Crowley 0.4–0.6% at 97%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.
How this resolves
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket …
