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480 live questions, each priced by a real prediction market. Search, filter and sort to find the odds you care about.
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25 questions
Odds as of Jul 5, 2026 · sourced from Polymarket
Economy+8 pts
Fed Decision in July?
No change
90%
25 bps increase
10%
25 bps decrease
1%
5 outcomes$38.3M vol
Economy+5 pts
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
3.75%
36%
4.0%
20%
4.25%
14%
15 outcomes$6.7M vol
Economy-12 pts
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA
61%
Alphabet
17%
Apple
16%
8 outcomes$4.0M vol
Economy-5 pts
Fed rate hike in 2026?
48%
Toss-up$3.4M vol
Economy+1 pt
Fed rate cut by...?
December Meeting
20%
October Meeting
14%
September Meeting
5%
4 outcomes$2.7M vol
Economy-2 pts
US recession by end of 2026?
10%
Very unlikely$1.7M vol
Economy+4 pts
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↓ 3.25%
22%
↑ 4.25%
13%
↑ 4.5%
8%
20 outcomes$1.6M vol
Economy+8 pts
Fed Decision in September?
No change
71%
25 bps increase
24%
25 bps decrease
4%
5 outcomes$1.4M vol
Economy
How high will inflation get in 2026?
Above 4.5%
20%
Above 5%
13%
Above 8%
4%
5 outcomes$1.3M vol
Economy-9 pts
Largest Company end of July?
NVIDIA
83%
Apple
12%
Alphabet
4%
8 outcomes$845K vol
Economy+3 pts
China Annual GDP Growth 2026
4.0–5.0%
82%
5.0–6.0%
16%
3.0–4.0%
2%
10 outcomes$739K vol
Economy-1 pt
Which CEOs will be out before 2027?
Sam Altman - OpenAI
12%
Andy Jassy - Amazon
11%
Dan Clancy - Twitch
9%
5 outcomes$699K vol
Economy-1 pt
June Inflation US - Annual
3.8%
50%
3.7%
31%
3.9%
15%
12 outcomes$647K vol
Economy+6 pts
Fed rate hike by...?
October Meeting
42%
September Meeting
30%
July Meeting
10%
3 outcomes$641K vol
Economy-11 pts
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
5.0%
11%
5.5%
9%
6.0%
7%
5 outcomes$464K vol
Economy-4 pts
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
34%
Unlikely$426K vol
Economy
Jerome Powell federally charged by...?
4%
Very unlikely$317K vol
Economy-12 pts
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
4.8%
14%
5.0%
9%
5.5%
4%
6 outcomes$245K vol
Economy+6 pts
ECB Interest Rates: July 2026
No change
99%
25 bps Increase
0%
25 bps decrease
0%
5 outcomes$234K vol
Economy+2 pts
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
3.9%
35%
3.8%
30%
3.7%
18%
8 outcomes$220K vol
Economy+9 pts
Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)
Pause–Pause–Pause
91%
Other
9%
Pause–Pause–Cut
1%
3 outcomes$200K vol
Economy-2 pts
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?
1.1m
92%
1.2m
82%
1.3m
36%
7 outcomes$170K vol
Economy-1 pt
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair
Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%
89%
Kevin Warsh & Rate ≤ 2.5%
5%
2 outcomes$159K vol
Economy+6 pts
Which companies will the US take a stake in?
GlobalFoundries
73%
D-Wave
56%
Rigetti
51%
20 outcomes$133K vol
Economyflat
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
7%
Very unlikely$115K vol