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480 live questions, each priced by a real prediction market. Search, filter and sort to find the odds you care about.
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28 questions
Odds as of Aug 21, 2026 · sourced from Polymarket
Economy-7 pts
Fed Decision in September?
No change
68%
25 bps increase
32%
25 bps decrease
1%
5 outcomes$46.2M vol
Economy+8 pts
Fed rate hike in 2026?
56%
Leaning yes$7.9M vol
Economy-3 pts
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
3.75%
37%
4.0%
34%
4.25%
13%
15 outcomes$6.8M vol
Economy-1 pt
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA
73%
Apple
14%
Alphabet
10%
8 outcomes$6.1M vol
Economy-3 pts
Fed rate cut by...?
December Meeting
13%
October Meeting
5%
September Meeting
2%
3 outcomes$3.2M vol
Economy
Fed rate hike by...?
October Meeting
41%
September Meeting
33%
2 outcomes$2.3M vol
Economyflat
Largest Company end of August?
NVIDIA
97%
Apple
2%
Alphabet
1%
8 outcomes$2.3M vol
Economy-2 pts
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↑ 4.25%
13%
↓ 3.25%
11%
↓ 2.0%
4%
20 outcomes$1.8M vol
Economy
US recession by end of 2026?
8%
Very unlikely$1.7M vol
Economy-4 pts
How high will inflation get in 2026?
Above 4.5%
14%
Above 5%
8%
Above 6%
4%
5 outcomes$1.4M vol
Economy
China Annual GDP Growth 2026
4.0–5.0%
89%
5.0–6.0%
7%
3.0–4.0%
1%
10 outcomes$881K vol
Economy-9 pts
Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
Pause–Pause–Pause
66%
Other
35%
Pause–Pause–Cut
1%
3 outcomes$768K vol
Economy+3 pts
Which CEOs will be out before 2027?
Andy Jassy - Amazon
12%
Sundar Pichai - Google
8%
Sam Altman - OpenAI
8%
5 outcomes$711K vol
Economy+3 pts
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
5.0%
13%
5.5%
7%
6.0%
7%
5 outcomes$482K vol
Economy-4 pts
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
18%
Unlikely$436K vol
Economy+10 pts
2nd Largest Company end of August?
Apple
95%
Alphabet
4%
NVIDIA
1%
8 outcomes$417K vol
Economy+2 pts
Largest Company end of September?
NVIDIA
92%
Apple
7%
Alphabet
3%
9 outcomes$380K vol
Economy+7 pts
Bank of Japan Decision in September?
25 bps increase
86%
No change
14%
50+ bps increase
1%
5 outcomes$331K vol
Economy+40 pts
Jerome Powell federally charged by...?
42%
Leaning no$319K vol
Economy+14 pts
3rd Largest Company end of August?
Alphabet
97%
Apple
2%
Microsoft
1%
8 outcomes$318K vol
Economy+4 pts
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
4.8%
67%
5.0%
23%
5.2%
9%
6 outcomes$288K vol
Economy+5 pts
ECB Interest Rates: September 2026
25 bps increase
92%
No change
9%
50+ bps increase
0%
5 outcomes$247K vol
Economy+2 pts
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
3.9%
14%
3.6%
5%
2.0%
4%
8 outcomes$225K vol
Economy+17 pts
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?
1.2m
72%
1.3m
16%
1.4m
8%
6 outcomes$183K vol
Economy+3 pts
Bank of England decision in September?
No change
92%
25 bps increase
7%
25 bps decrease
1%
5 outcomes$174K vol
Economy+3 pts
Which companies will the US take a stake in?
GlobalFoundries
89%
D-Wave
81%
Rigetti
78%
20 outcomes$171K vol
Economy
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair
Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%
94%
Kevin Warsh & Rate ≤ 2.5%
5%
2 outcomes$160K vol
Economy+3 pts
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
8%
Very unlikely$145K vol