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480 live questions, each priced by a real prediction market. Search, filter and sort to find the odds you care about.
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15 questions
Odds as of Oct 5, 2026 · sourced from Polymarket
Scienceflat
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 31
3%
October 31
1%
2 outcomes$71.7M vol
Science-1 pt
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
1
66%
2
35%
4
0%
6 outcomes$3.6M vol
Science+1 pt
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
14–16
52%
11–13
31%
17–19
16%
4 outcomes$1.5M vol
Science-7 pts
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
1
39%
0
35%
2
10%
6 outcomes$1.2M vol
Science+1 pt
New pandemic in 2026?
6%
Very unlikely$1.1M vol
Science+1 pt
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?
December 31, 2027
70%
June 30, 2027
46%
December 31, 2026
4%
3 outcomes$1.0M vol
Scienceflat
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
1%
Very unlikely$826K vol
Science+2 pts
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
5-6
59%
<5
39%
7-8
1%
8 outcomes$520K vol
Science+2 pts
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?
December 31, 2028
38%
December 31, 2027
13%
December 31, 2026
3%
3 outcomes$431K vol
Science+1 pt
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
7%
Very unlikely$348K vol
Scienceflat
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
3%
Very unlikely$330K vol
Science-6 pts
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
14%
Unlikely$315K vol
Science-4 pts
Natural Disaster in 2026?
9%
Very unlikely$248K vol
Science-1 pt
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?
16%
Unlikely$246K vol
Science
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
8%
Very unlikely$207K vol