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480 questions · page 6 of 8
Odds as of Jul 5, 2026 · sourced from Polymarket
Economy-1 pt
June Inflation US - Annual
3.8%
50%
3.7%
31%
3.9%
15%
12 outcomes$647K vol
Crypto-6 pts
Base FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$500M
71%
$1B
71%
$2B
66%
10 outcomes$643K vol
Economy+6 pts
Fed rate hike by...?
October Meeting
42%
September Meeting
30%
July Meeting
10%
3 outcomes$641K vol
Sports+8 pts
Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?
Justin Gaethje
83%
Arman Tsarukyan
14%
Charles Oliveira
6%
12 outcomes$634K vol
Politics
Quebec General Election Winner
PQ
63%
CAQ
22%
PLQ
12%
6 outcomes$629K vol
Politicsflat
Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner
Lebanese Forces (LF)
2%
Amal Movement (Amal)
2%
Hezbollah (Hezb)
1%
23 outcomes$620K vol
Politics-1 pt
What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?
↑ $6,000
8%
↑ $7,000
6%
↑ $12,000
4%
6 outcomes$616K vol
Sports+2 pts
Who will be UFC Welterweight champion at the end of 2026?
Islam Makhachev
65%
Ian Machado Garry
20%
Michael Morales
5%
12 outcomes$612K vol
Politics-12 pts
Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026?
Ed Miliband
50%
Pat McFadden
14%
Yvette Cooper
13%
10 outcomes$600K vol
Climate-3 pts
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
5%
Very unlikely$600K vol
Sports-5 pts
Who will be the next UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 in 2026?
Islam/None in 2026
67%
Alexander Volkanovski
16%
Ilia Topuria
12%
15 outcomes$596K vol
Politics+4 pts
Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner
Victor Marx
98%
Barbara Kirkmeyer
2%
Mark Baisley
0%
15 outcomes$589K vol
Crypto-2 pts
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?
8%
Very unlikely$586K vol
Tech & AI+4 pts
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
14%
Unlikely$575K vol
Crypto+2 pts
OKX IPO in 2026?
11%
Unlikely$574K vol
Sports+23 pts
Brazil vs. Japan - Player Props
Ayase Ueda: 1+ shots on target
52%
Matheus Cunha: 2+ shots on target
50%
Alisson: 2+ saves
47%
3 outcomes$562K vol
Sports
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5
100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5
100%
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees
92%
20 outcomes$556K vol
Tech & AI+2 pts
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
10%
Very unlikely$555K vol
Politics-2 pts
Texas Senate Election Winner
Ken Paxton (R)
55%
James Talarico (D)
44%
2 outcomes$554K vol
Tech & AI
Anthropic IPO by __?
December 31, 2026
76%
October 31, 2026
37%
September 30, 2026
10%
5 outcomes$549K vol
Cryptoflat
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
1%
Very unlikely$524K vol
Politics+1 pt
Tim Walz charged by...?
8%
Very unlikely$508K vol
Crypto-12 pts
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?
December 31, 2027
46%
June 30, 2027
21%
December 31, 2026
14%
3 outcomes$506K vol
Crypto-17 pts
Will Abstract launch a token by ___?
December 31, 2027
55%
September 30, 2027
51%
June 30, 2027
49%
6 outcomes$501K vol
Politics-1 pt
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
6%
Very unlikely$498K vol
Cryptoflat
Will Exponent launch a token by ___?
December 31, 2027
48%
December 31, 2026
21%
September 30, 2026
14%
3 outcomes$488K vol
Politics+2 pts
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
11%
Unlikely$486K vol
Politics+3 pts
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by...?
32%
Unlikely$486K vol
Crypto-1 pt
Will MicroStrategy announce holding ___ BTC by December 31, 2026?
14%
Unlikely$483K vol
Science+3 pts
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
<5
43%
5-6
39%
7-8
12%
8 outcomes$479K vol
Economy-11 pts
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
5.0%
11%
5.5%
9%
6.0%
7%
5 outcomes$464K vol
Crypto
Bitcoin above ___ on July 6?
50,000
100%
52,000
100%
54,000
100%
11 outcomes$463K vol
Crypto+1 pt
Reya FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$70M
64%
$150M
22%
$200M
19%
6 outcomes$458K vol
Politics-7 pts
SAVE Act becomes law by...?
16%
Unlikely$452K vol
Crypto-5 pts
Consensys IPO by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
16%
September 30, 2026
6%
2 outcomes$439K vol
Crypto-1 pt
SBF released from custody in 2026?
4%
Very unlikely$436K vol
Politics+6 pts
AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner
Jay Feely
85%
Joseph Chaplik
15%
Matt Gress
0%
13 outcomes$432K vol
Politics+9 pts
Minnesota Governor Republican Primary Winner
Lisa Demuth
38%
Kendall Qualls
32%
Mike Lindell
19%
10 outcomes$427K vol
Economy-4 pts
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
34%
Unlikely$426K vol
Crypto+2 pts
Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$200M
62%
$400M
32%
$600M
28%
9 outcomes$426K vol
Crypto+3 pts
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
24%
Unlikely$423K vol
Tech & AI+27 pts
GPT-5.6 released on...?
July 9
44%
July 14
29%
July 7
7%
24 outcomes$420K vol
Politics+2 pts
Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner
Mike Mazzei
81%
Genter Drummond
19%
Chip Keating
0%
8 outcomes$419K vol
Politics+12 pts
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Renan Santos
61%
Ronaldo Caiado
13%
Flávio Bolsonaro
8%
17 outcomes$416K vol
Politics+4 pts
Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
93%
Flavio Bolsonaro
79%
Renan Santos
14%
9 outcomes$410K vol
Tech & AI
GPT-6 released by…?
December 31, 2026
66%
September 30, 2026
28%
July 31, 2026
2%
3 outcomes$408K vol
Culture
"Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office
<68m
100%
68-77m
0%
77-86m
0%
5 outcomes$407K vol
Tech & AI-46 pts
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by...?
13%
Unlikely$404K vol
Politicsflat
ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?
Not Extended & Democratic Party
81%
Not Extended & Republican Party
20%
2 outcomes$402K vol
Culture
Elon Musk # tweets July 4 - July 6, 2026?
<40
76%
40-64
23%
65-89
2%
10 outcomes$402K vol
Crypto+7 pts
XRP all time high by ___?
December 31, 2026
10%
September 30, 2026
1%
2 outcomes$396K vol
Tech & AI+1 pt
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)
600B+
92%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
5%
400–600B
1%
7 outcomes$395K vol
Crypto
What price will Ethereum hit June 29-July 5?
↑ 1,900
0%
↑ 2,300
0%
↑ 2,200
0%
12 outcomes$394K vol
Crypto+8 pts
Will Variational launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
71%
September 30, 2026
12%
2 outcomes$372K vol
Tech & AIflat
SpaceX IPO: Who will be on-stage at the Bell Ceremony?
Antonio Gracias
3%
Jonathan Hofeller
2%
2 outcomes$369K vol
Politics
Jimmy Lai released by...?
7%
Very unlikely$368K vol
Politicsflat
Trump out as President by July 31?
1%
Very unlikely$364K vol
Politics+4 pts
Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
California
98%
Texas
97%
North Carolina
96%
22 outcomes$358K vol
Politics-9 pts
Alaska Senate Election Winner
Mary Peltola
60%
Dan Sullivan
41%
Ann Diener
0%
5 outcomes$357K vol
Tech & AI+1 pt
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
Earbuds/Headphones
28%
Clip-on device for clothing
24%
Glasses
21%
10 outcomes$341K vol