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Explore the future

480 live questions, each priced by a real prediction market. Search, filter and sort to find the odds you care about.

480 questions · page 8 of 8

Odds as of Aug 22, 2026 · sourced from Polymarket

Politics-2 pts

Who will Trump endorse?

1%
Very unlikely$247K vol
Crypto+2 pts

What price will Ethena hit in 2026?

↓ 0.04
42%
↑ 0.36
11%
↑ 0.32
10%
12 outcomes$247K vol
Politics+5 pts

Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by...?

March 31, 2027
23%
December 31, 2026
14%
2 outcomes$246K vol
Science+4 pts

New COVID variant of concern before 2027?

9%
Very unlikely$245K vol
Science+6 pts

Natural Disaster in 2026?

26%
Unlikely$241K vol
Politics-2 pts

Trump renames ICE to NICE by...?

5%
Very unlikely$241K vol
Politics

JD Vance out as VP by...?

6%
Very unlikely$239K vol
Crypto+1 pt

Will Loopscale launch a token by ___?

December 31, 2027
45%
December 31, 2026
15%
September 30, 2026
2%
3 outcomes$236K vol
Politics

Andrew Tate released from custody by...?

December 31
17%
August 31
5%
2 outcomes$235K vol
Cryptoflat

Will Predict.fun launch a token by ___?

December 31, 2027
87%
September 30, 2027
71%
June 30, 2027
69%
6 outcomes$227K vol
Crypto-4 pts

Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?

Workhorse
19%
Beyond Meat
14%
C3.ai
13%
14 outcomes$226K vol
Economy+2 pts

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

3.9%
14%
3.6%
5%
3.8%
4%
8 outcomes$225K vol
Crypto

Bitcoin above ___ on August 23?

54,000
100%
56,000
100%
58,000
100%
11 outcomes$223K vol
Crypto+2 pts

Unit FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$200M
43%
$400M
38%
$600M
31%
8 outcomes$222K vol
Culture-2 pts

Which artists will release new albums in 2026?

Jay Z
61%
Lana Del Rey
57%
Travis Scott
55%
17 outcomes$220K vol
Crypto+2 pts

Will Perena launch a token by ___?

December 31, 2026
22%
September 30, 2026
1%
2 outcomes$218K vol
Tech & AI

Gemini 4.0 released by...?

November 30
84%
October 31
57%
September 30
22%
5 outcomes$216K vol
Culture+6 pts

Next James Bond actor?

No Bond chosen
26%
Jack Lowden
23%
Callum Turner
16%
17 outcomes$215K vol
Crypto

Will Ventuals launch a token by ___ ?

December 31 2026
3%
September 30 2026
1%
2 outcomes$208K vol
Tech & AI

Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

#3
35%
#1
11%
2 outcomes$208K vol
Business+10 pts

Oura IPO Closing Market Cap

<$7.5B
14%
$7.5B–$10B
14%
$10B–$12.5B
14%
8 outcomes$206K vol
Crypto+2 pts

Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?

8%
Very unlikely$205K vol
Crypto+9 pts

Will Axiom launch a token by ___ ?

December 31, 2027
51%
December 31, 2026
7%
2 outcomes$202K vol
Culture+11 pts

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

August 21
100%
August 22
94%
August 31
93%
11 outcomes$200K vol
Crypto-2 pts

Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?

2%
Very unlikely$197K vol
Cryptoflat

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

2%
Very unlikely$196K vol
Culture-12 pts

Another GTA VI trailer released by...?

32%
Unlikely$195K vol
Crypto

Bitcoin above ___ on August 24?

54,000
100%
58,000
100%
56,000
100%
11 outcomes$193K vol
Culture-3 pts

Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner

AS
52%
SV
21%
LPV
20%
9 outcomes$191K vol
Crypto+4 pts

Will Daylight launch a token by ___?

December 31, 2027
36%
December 31, 2026
10%
September 30, 2026
3%
3 outcomes$190K vol
Crypto+1 pt

Will USDT market cap hit $200B by ___?

46%
Toss-up$189K vol
Crypto

XRP Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

4%
Very unlikely$188K vol
Crypto

Will Pacifica launch a token by ___ ?

December 31 2026
18%
September 30 2026
7%
2 outcomes$187K vol
Crypto-4 pts

Ostium FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$50M
14%
$75M
8%
$200M
7%
11 outcomes$187K vol
Tech & AI-1 pt

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

1560
43%
1580
19%
1600
13%
3 outcomes$187K vol
Tech & AI-15 pts

Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?

September 30
60%
September 15
44%
September 9
36%
4 outcomes$186K vol
Economy+16 pts

Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?

1.2m
72%
1.3m
15%
1.4m
8%
6 outcomes$183K vol
Scienceflat

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

11%
Unlikely$179K vol
Economy+2 pts

Bank of England decision in September?

No change
92%
25 bps increase
7%
50+ bps decrease
1%
5 outcomes$174K vol
Tech & AIflat

Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?

99%
Near certain$173K vol
Economy+3 pts

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

GlobalFoundries
89%
D-Wave
81%
Rigetti
78%
20 outcomes$172K vol
Culture+5 pts

Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?

Mariah Carey
73%
Peso Pluma
51%
Kendrick Lamar
33%
23 outcomes$165K vol
Culture+16 pts

Billboard #1 Artist 2026

Morgan Wallen
84%
Post Malone
3%
SZA
3%
16 outcomes$164K vol
Economy

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%
94%
Kevin Warsh & Rate ≤ 2.5%
6%
2 outcomes$160K vol
Tech & AI

#1 Searched Person on Google 2026?

Bad Bunny
13%
Erling Haaland
12%
Donald Trump
9%
24 outcomes$159K vol
Tech & AI+45 pts

Second-best AI Lab end of August?

Google
83%
Meta
12%
Alibaba
4%
21 outcomes$157K vol
Tech & AI-1 pt

#1 Searched Movie on Google 2026?

The Odyssey
43%
Obsession
27%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
16%
20 outcomes$157K vol
Tech & AI-2 pts

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?

1520
16%
1530
5%
1540
5%
4 outcomes$152K vol
Tech & AI+5 pts

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

JetBlue
10%
Frontier Airlines
7%
Allegiant
2%
5 outcomes$149K vol
Climate+3 pts

Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2

53%
Toss-up$148K vol
Tech & AI+1 pt

Perplexity IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO before 2028
65%
<20B
8%
50B–75B
7%
8 outcomes$147K vol
Tech & AI-7 pts

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

↑ 1520
55%
↑ 1530
27%
↑ 1540
17%
7 outcomes$145K vol
Economy+3 pts

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

8%
Very unlikely$145K vol
Business-55 pts

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in August 2026?

↑ $780
30%
↑ $790
9%
↓ $730
5%
10 outcomes$141K vol
Tech & AI+3 pts

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

October 31
97%
September 30
92%
Super Heavy booster explodes?
79%
9 outcomes$141K vol
Scienceflat

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

12%
Unlikely$139K vol
Science

Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?

6%
Very unlikely$131K vol
Tech & AI-5 pts

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

OpenAI
30%
Google
17%
Alibaba
13%
14 outcomes$129K vol
Culture-8 pts

Which artists will release a new song in 2026?

JAY-Z
82%
Nicki Minaj
80%
Frank Ocean
33%
3 outcomes$129K vol
Science-2 pts

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

5%
Very unlikely$128K vol