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90 questions · page 2 of 2
Odds as of Jul 5, 2026 · sourced from Polymarket
Politics
Jimmy Lai released by...?
7%
Very unlikely$368K vol
Politicsflat
Trump out as President by July 31?
1%
Very unlikely$364K vol
Politics+4 pts
Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
California
98%
Texas
97%
North Carolina
96%
22 outcomes$358K vol
Politics-9 pts
Alaska Senate Election Winner
Mary Peltola
60%
Dan Sullivan
41%
Ann Diener
0%
5 outcomes$357K vol
Politics-8 pts
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by...?
12%
Unlikely$341K vol
Politics-2 pts
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
13%
Unlikely$334K vol
Politics-1 pt
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
AfD
80%
SPD
20%
CDU
0%
8 outcomes$333K vol
Politics-9 pts
Lecornu out as French PM by...?
December 31, 2026
18%
July 31, 2026
1%
2 outcomes$329K vol
Politics+2 pts
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
Shutdown & Democratic Party
84%
Shutdown & Republican Party
17%
2 outcomes$328K vol
Politics+1 pt
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
Matt Gaetz
50%
Donald Brodie
46%
Roger Stone
42%
24 outcomes$322K vol
Politics
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
4%
Very unlikely$322K vol
Politics-3 pts
Which states will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
South Carolina
56%
California
54%
Indiana
53%
24 outcomes$315K vol
Politics+11 pts
Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won
PL
88%
MDB
11%
UNIÃO
0%
12 outcomes$277K vol
Politics+1 pt
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
92%
Near certain$276K vol
Politics+3 pts
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
Lula da Silva 5-10%
41%
Lula da Silva 10-15%
25%
Lula da Silva <5%
22%
11 outcomes$269K vol
Politics-2 pts
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Below 190
28%
190-194
15%
195-199
14%
10 outcomes$261K vol
Politics+3 pts
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
13%
Unlikely$239K vol
Politics-11 pts
Trump renames ICE to NICE by...?
December 31
18%
July 31
9%
2 outcomes$236K vol
Politics+3 pts
Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner
Eduardo Paes
89%
Douglas Ruas
4%
Rafa Luz
1%
15 outcomes$234K vol
Politicsflat
Who will Trump endorse?
1%
Very unlikely$230K vol
Politics+1 pt
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
95%
Near certain$225K vol
Politics+1 pt
Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner
Bev Craig
92%
Sian Astley
7%
Geraldine Coggins
1%
14 outcomes$222K vol
Politics-1 pt
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
6%
Very unlikely$217K vol
Politics-5 pts
Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?
Tom Begich
92%
Bernadette Wilson
73%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
66%
20 outcomes$217K vol
Politics-4 pts
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?
↑ $7,800
51%
↓ $6,200
28%
↑ $8,200
25%
8 outcomes$212K vol
Politics+18 pts
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (June 29 - July 4)
48%
Toss-up$208K vol
Politics+3 pts
Argentina Presidential Election Winner
Javier Milei
51%
Axel Kicillof
43%
Mauricio Macri
2%
11 outcomes$208K vol
Politics-1 pt
JD Vance out as VP by...?
December 31
7%
July 31
1%
2 outcomes$203K vol
Politics+6 pts
FL-06 Republican Primary Winner
Randy Fine
96%
Dan Bilzerian
3%
Charles Gambaro
0%
7 outcomes$199K vol
Politicsflat
Michigan Governor Election Winner
Democrat
84%
Republican
14%
Independent
3%
3 outcomes$188K vol