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480 live questions, each priced by a real prediction market. Search, filter and sort to find the odds you care about.

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90 questions · page 1 of 2

Odds as of Jul 5, 2026 · sourced from Polymarket

Geopolitics-2 pts

Netanyahu out by...?

2 outcomes$123.4M vol

Geopolitics-1 pt

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro

Delcy Rodríguez

María Corina Machado

16 outcomes$93.1M vol

Geopolitics-2 pts

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

2 outcomes$61.0M vol

Geopolitics+5 pts

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Starmer - UK PM

Petro - Colombia President

Zelenskyy - Ukraine President

24 outcomes$47.0M vol

Geopolitics+28 pts

World Cup: Golden Boot Winner

24 outcomes$46.7M vol

Geopolitics-1 pt

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Very unlikely$43.5M vol

Geopoliticsflat

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

13 outcomes$40.7M vol

Geopolitics-2 pts

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Unlikely$39.3M vol

Geopolitics-2 pts

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Very unlikely$38.0M vol

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

3 outcomes$28.3M vol

Geopolitics-3 pts

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Benjamin Netanyahu

Naftali Bennett

18 outcomes$25.7M vol

Geopoliticsflat

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Yulia Navalnaya

20 outcomes$22.1M vol

Geopolitics-1 pt

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Very unlikely$21.5M vol

Geopolitics-3 pts

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Very unlikely$21.2M vol

Israel closes its airspace by...?

4 outcomes$20.8M vol

Iran leadership change by...?

4 outcomes$19.1M vol

Geopolitics-2 pts

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei

Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf

24 outcomes$17.5M vol

Geopolitics-4 pts

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

2 outcomes$17.1M vol

Geopolitics-3 pts

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Very unlikely$16.1M vol

Highest grossing movie in 2026?

Spider-Man: Brand New Day

Avengers: Doomsday

14 outcomes$14.2M vol

Geopoliticsflat

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

Very unlikely$14.2M vol

Geopolitics-2 pts

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

United Russia (ER)

New People (NL)

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)

7 outcomes$14.1M vol

Geopolitics-18 pts

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Unlikely$12.1M vol

Geopolitics-3 pts

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

Very unlikely$12.0M vol

Geopoliticsflat

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Very unlikely$11.6M vol

Geopolitics-1 pt

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Very unlikely$11.0M vol

Geopolitics-4 pts

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Very unlikely$10.4M vol

Geopolitics-7 pts

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

Very unlikely$9.8M vol

Geopolitics-3 pts

Trump out as President before 2027?

Very unlikely$9.7M vol

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep

R Senate, D House

Republicans Sweep

5 outcomes$8.4M vol

Geopolitics+2 pts

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

7 outcomes$7.7M vol

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Very unlikely$7.6M vol

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

6 outcomes$7.3M vol

Geopolitics+6 pts

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?

December 31, 2026

September 30, 2026

3 outcomes$7.3M vol

Geopolitics-3 pts

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

12 outcomes$7.3M vol

Geopolitics-4 pts

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

4 outcomes$7.1M vol

Geopolitics-10 pts

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Very unlikely$6.8M vol

US military action against Cuba by...?

Leaning no$6.8M vol

Geopolitics-1 pt

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

2 outcomes$6.2M vol

Geopolitics-4 pts

Russia nuclear test by...?

December 31, 2026

September 30, 2026

2 outcomes$6.1M vol

Geopolitics-1 pt

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

2 outcomes$5.4M vol

Geopolitics-3 pts

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

3 outcomes$5.3M vol

Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?

Very unlikely$5.2M vol

Geopolitics+11 pts

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

4 outcomes$4.8M vol

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

5 outcomes$4.3M vol

Geopolitics-21 pts

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?

2 outcomes$4.1M vol

Geopolitics-6 pts

MLB: 2026 American League Champion

New York Yankees

Seattle Mariners

15 outcomes$4.1M vol

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Unlikely$4.1M vol

Geopolitics-8 pts

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Likely$3.9M vol

Geopolitics+7 pts

MLB: 2026 National League Champion

Los Angeles Dodgers

Milwaukee Brewers

15 outcomes$3.7M vol

Geopolitics-69 pts

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

Very unlikely$3.6M vol

Geopolitics-1 pt

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

Very unlikely$3.4M vol

Geopolitics-5 pts

US strike on Mexico by...?

Unlikely$3.4M vol

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Magdalena Andersson

Ulf Kristersson

Jimmie Åkesson

10 outcomes$3.1M vol

Geopolitics-3 pts

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Unlikely$3.0M vol

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

Unlikely$3.0M vol

Geopolitics-4 pts

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

Unlikely$2.9M vol

Geopolitics-9 pts

Will Russia capture Lyman by...?

2 outcomes$2.8M vol

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

Unlikely$2.8M vol

Geopolitics-2 pts

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Very unlikely$2.7M vol