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90 questions · page 1 of 2
Odds as of Oct 6, 2026 · sourced from Polymarket
Politics-1 pt
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
18%
Gavin Newsom
16%
Jon Ossoff
15%
24 outcomes$1.3B vol
Politics-1 pt
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance
20%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
15%
Jon Ossoff
10%
24 outcomes$713.5M vol
Politicsflat
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. Vance
50%
Marco Rubio
15%
Tucker Carlson
3%
24 outcomes$709.8M vol
Politics+25 pts
Brazil Presidential Election
Flávio Bolsonaro
84%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
16%
2 outcomes$174.3M vol
Politicsflat
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen
43%
Édouard Philippe
18%
David Lisnard
13%
24 outcomes$145.4M vol
Politics+1 pt
California Governor Election Winner
Xavier Becerra
96%
Steve Hilton
4%
Tom Steyer
0%
23 outcomes$41.7M vol
Politicsflat
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
3%
Very unlikely$35.7M vol
Politics+3 pts
Los Angeles Mayoral Election
Nithya Raman
61%
Karen Bass
40%
2 outcomes$14.9M vol
Politics
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
8%
2 outcomes$14.1M vol
Politics-11 pts
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
December 31
38%
October 31
16%
2 outcomes$6.5M vol
Politics+2 pts
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Democratic Party
65%
Republican Party
36%
2 outcomes$5.9M vol
Politics
Next Prime Minister of Romania?
Luca Niculescu
53%
Sorin Grindeanu
12%
Alexandru Nazare
11%
24 outcomes$4.8M vol
Politicsflat
Epstein client list released by...?
5%
Very unlikely$4.4M vol
Politics-7 pts
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
June 30, 2027
33%
December 31
7%
2 outcomes$4.2M vol
Politics+1 pt
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
29%
Unlikely$3.9M vol
Politicsflat
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by...?
3%
Very unlikely$3.1M vol
Politics+2 pts
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
≤47
39%
48
17%
49
14%
11 outcomes$3.1M vol
Politics
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
December 31, 2027
30%
June 30, 2027
23%
March 31, 2027
14%
6 outcomes$2.8M vol
Politics-1 pt
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
1%
Very unlikely$2.6M vol
Politics
Will Tim Walz resign by...?
2%
Very unlikely$2.6M vol
Politics
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
Democratic
65%
Republican
35%
2 outcomes$2.5M vol
Politics+3 pts
Texas Senate Election Winner
James Talarico (D)
65%
Ken Paxton (R)
36%
2 outcomes$2.2M vol
Politics+1 pt
Macron out by...?
5%
Very unlikely$2.2M vol
Politics
Maine Senate Election Winner
Troy Jackson (D)
59%
Susan Collins (R)
43%
2 outcomes$2.1M vol
Politics
What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?
↑ $4,500
50%
↑ $5,000
20%
↓ $3,500
13%
11 outcomes$1.9M vol
Politics-1 pt
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
7%
Very unlikely$1.8M vol
Politics-2 pts
Kash Patel out by...?
December 31
21%
October 31
4%
2 outcomes$1.8M vol
Politicsflat
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
Markwayne Mullin
34%
Kristi Noem
32%
Dan Scavino
30%
16 outcomes$1.4M vol
Politics+2 pts
Michigan Senate Election Winner
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
74%
Mike Rogers (R)
27%
2 outcomes$1.3M vol
Politics-4 pts
Insurrection Act invoked by...?
11%
Unlikely$1.1M vol
Politics+1 pt
Alaska Senate Election Winner
Mary Peltola
74%
Sen. Dan Sullivan
27%
Ann Diener
0%
7 outcomes$1.1M vol
Politics-1 pt
French election called by...?
5%
Very unlikely$1.1M vol
Politics+2 pts
Ohio Senate Election Winner
Sherrod Brown (D)
62%
Jon Husted (R)
39%
2 outcomes$1.1M vol
Politics-8 pts
Will Trump be impeached by...?
December 31, 2027
56%
June 30, 2027
43%
December 31, 2026
2%
3 outcomes$1.0M vol
Politics-2 pts
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
↓ $85
76%
↑ $95
50%
↓ $80
45%
19 outcomes$943K vol
Politics+3 pts
Next Prime Minister of Spain?
Alberto Núñez Feijóo
82%
Pedro Sánchez
17%
Santiago Abascal
2%
16 outcomes$881K vol
Politics+17 pts
Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?
December 31
83%
October 31
68%
2 outcomes$873K vol
Politics
UK election called by...?
June 30, 2027
24%
December 31, 2026
10%
2 outcomes$835K vol
Politics
Argentina Presidential Election Winner
Javier Milei
56%
Axel Kicillof
32%
Sergio Massa
5%
19 outcomes$798K vol
Politics+3 pts
Next Prime Minister of Serbia?
Aleksandar Vučić
68%
Ilija Srdanović
20%
Vladan Đokić
2%
10 outcomes$782K vol
Politics-3 pts
Kansas Senate Election Winner
Roger Marshall (R)
68%
Adam Hamilton (D)
34%
2 outcomes$771K vol
Politicsflat
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
4%
Very unlikely$764K vol
Politics-1 pt
Iowa Senate Election Winner
Ashley Hinson (R)
57%
Josh Turek (D)
43%
2 outcomes$732K vol
Politics-5 pts
Wisconsin Governor Election Winner
David Crowley (D)
81%
Tom Tiffany (R)
19%
2 outcomes$703K vol
Politics-2 pts
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?
22–23
36%
<22
26%
24–25
22%
7 outcomes$702K vol
Politics+80 pts
Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner
Douglas Ruas
95%
Eduardo Paes
5%
Dr. Luizinho
0%
16 outcomes$690K vol
Politics
Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner
Amal Movement (Amal)
1%
Lebanese Forces (LF)
0%
Hezbollah (Hezb)
0%
23 outcomes$678K vol
Politics-2 pts
South Carolina Senate Election Winner
Darline Graham Nordone (R)
85%
Annie Andrews (D)
16%
2 outcomes$661K vol
Politics-9 pts
Taipei Mayor Election Winner
Chiang Wan-an
73%
Puma Shen
28%
Kuo Hsi
0%
3 outcomes$611K vol
Politics-4 pts
SAVE Act becomes law by...?
4%
Very unlikely$562K vol
Politics-1 pt
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
5%
Very unlikely$553K vol
Politicsflat
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
2%
Very unlikely$543K vol
Politicsflat
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
98%
Near certain$542K vol
Politics-2 pts
Tim Walz charged by...?
3%
Very unlikely$523K vol
Politics+9 pts
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
Donald Brodie
31%
Stefan Brodie
19%
Ryan Salame
14%
24 outcomes$503K vol
Politics+1 pt
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
94%
Marine Le Pen
91%
Édouard Philippe
90%
24 outcomes$501K vol
Politics+7 pts
Lima Mayoral Election Winner
Rafael López Aliaga
94%
Francis James Allison Oyague
4%
Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli
0%
23 outcomes$499K vol
Politics+4 pts
Nebraska Senate Election Winner
Pete Ricketts (R)
74%
Independent
27%
Democrat
0%
3 outcomes$497K vol
Politics-4 pts
Who will be arrested before 2027?
John Brennan
22%
Mahmoud Khalil
19%
Lee Jun-seok
12%
24 outcomes$482K vol
Politics+2 pts
Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?
Anna Kelly
23%
Scott Jennings
13%
Maria Bartiromo
6%
24 outcomes$480K vol
