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90 questions · page 1 of 2
Odds as of Aug 21, 2026 · sourced from Polymarket
Politics-2 pts
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
18%
Gavin Newsom
15%
Jon Ossoff
14%
24 outcomes$1.3B vol
Politics-3 pts
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance
20%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
13%
Marco Rubio
12%
24 outcomes$690.7M vol
Politics+1 pt
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. Vance
47%
Marco Rubio
21%
Ron DeSantis
3%
24 outcomes$689.5M vol
Politics+1 pt
Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Abiy Ahmed
97%
Adanech Abiebie
1%
Gedion Timothewos
1%
8 outcomes$283.8M vol
Politics
Brazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
64%
Flávio Bolsonaro
33%
Renan Santos
5%
18 outcomes$130.7M vol
Politics+1 pt
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen
32%
Édouard Philippe
26%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
14%
24 outcomes$120.9M vol
Politics+2 pts
California Governor Election Winner
Xavier Becerra
95%
Steve Hilton
5%
Tom Steyer
0%
23 outcomes$40.8M vol
Politicsflat
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
3%
Very unlikely$35.3M vol
Politics-2 pts
Los Angeles Mayoral Election
Karen Bass
65%
Nithya Raman
35%
2 outcomes$13.4M vol
Politics
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Democratic Party
88%
Republican Party
13%
2 outcomes$9.6M vol
Politics+30 pts
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in August 2026?
↑ $90
61%
↑ $95
24%
↑ $100
10%
19 outcomes$8.5M vol
Politicsflat
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
December 31
24%
September 30
10%
August 31
3%
3 outcomes$6.4M vol
Politics+4 pts
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Flávio Bolsonaro
87%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
6%
Renan Santos
4%
17 outcomes$5.2M vol
Politics+15 pts
Epstein client list released by...?
21%
Unlikely$4.4M vol
Politics-2 pts
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Democratic Party
51%
Republican Party
50%
2 outcomes$4.0M vol
Politics-3 pts
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
31%
Unlikely$3.7M vol
Politics-1 pt
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
June 30, 2027
35%
December 31
6%
September 30
2%
3 outcomes$3.5M vol
Politics-1 pt
Next Prime Minister of Romania?
Alexandru Nazare
47%
Sorin Grindeanu
21%
Radu Burnete
6%
24 outcomes$3.3M vol
Politics-5 pts
Berlin State Election Winner
Linke
40%
CDU
34%
AfD
15%
8 outcomes$3.3M vol
Politics
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by...?
3%
Very unlikely$3.1M vol
Politics+1 pt
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
≤47
27%
49
14%
48
13%
11 outcomes$2.9M vol
Politics-22 pts
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner
Darline Graham Nordone
70%
Ralph Norman
32%
Nancy Mace
0%
15 outcomes$2.7M vol
Politicsflat
Will Tim Walz resign by...?
3%
Very unlikely$2.6M vol
Politicsflat
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
2%
Very unlikely$2.6M vol
Politics+1 pt
Macron out by...?
6%
Very unlikely$2.1M vol
Politics+1 pt
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
Democratic
59%
Republican
41%
2 outcomes$2.1M vol
Politicsflat
Trump out as President by August 31?
0%
Very unlikely$1.9M vol
Politics-1 pt
Kash Patel out by...?
December 31
24%
September 30
7%
August 31
1%
3 outcomes$1.7M vol
Politics+22 pts
What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?
↑ $5,000
65%
↑ $4,500
50%
↑ $6,000
12%
11 outcomes$1.4M vol
Politics+28 pts
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
Russell Vought
38%
Howard Lutnick
30%
Susie Wiles
30%
16 outcomes$1.4M vol
Politics-7 pts
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
17%
Unlikely$1.3M vol
Politics
Maine Senate Election Winner
Troy Jackson (D)
70%
Susan Collins (R)
31%
2 outcomes$1.2M vol
Politics-1 pt
Insurrection Act invoked by...?
December 31
17%
September 30
2%
2 outcomes$1.1M vol
Politics-3 pts
French election called by...?
5%
Very unlikely$1.1M vol
Politicsflat
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
2%
Very unlikely$1.0M vol
Politics+1 pt
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner
AfD
99%
CDU
1%
SPD
0%
7 outcomes$886K vol
Politics
Texas Senate Election Winner
James Talarico (D)
52%
Ken Paxton (R)
49%
2 outcomes$848K vol
Politics+9 pts
Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?
88%
Likely$843K vol
Politicsflat
UK election called by...?
June 30, 2027
33%
December 31, 2026
10%
2 outcomes$822K vol
Politics+3 pts
Quebec General Election Winner
PQ
73%
PLQ
13%
CAQ
13%
6 outcomes$785K vol
Politicsflat
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
6%
Very unlikely$745K vol
Politics-2 pts
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?
<22
28%
22–23
27%
24–25
22%
7 outcomes$689K vol
Politicsflat
Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner
Amal Movement (Amal)
2%
Lebanese Forces (LF)
0%
Hezbollah (Hezb)
0%
23 outcomes$668K vol
Politics+57 pts
What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in August 2026?
↑ $4,700
65%
↓ $4,000
2%
↓ $3,900
1%
8 outcomes$655K vol
Politics-4 pts
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Renan Santos
56%
Ronaldo Caiado
35%
Romeu Zema
5%
19 outcomes$563K vol
Politics+7 pts
Michigan Senate Election Winner
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
64%
Mike Rogers (R)
37%
2 outcomes$557K vol
Politics
Argentina Presidential Election Winner
Javier Milei
51%
Axel Kicillof
42%
Sergio Massa
8%
11 outcomes$543K vol
Politics
SAVE Act becomes law by...?
14%
Unlikely$541K vol
Politicsflat
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
8%
Very unlikely$539K vol
Politics
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
4%
Very unlikely$534K vol
Politics-1 pt
Tim Walz charged by...?
3%
Very unlikely$511K vol
Politics-1 pt
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
18%
Unlikely$502K vol
Politics+1 pt
Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
96%
Flavio Bolsonaro
92%
Renan Santos
6%
9 outcomes$492K vol
Politics-2 pts
Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner
Mike Mazzei
73%
Gentner Drummond
28%
Chip Keating
0%
8 outcomes$487K vol
Politics+3 pts
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
AfD
88%
SPD
14%
CDU
0%
8 outcomes$467K vol
Politics+6 pts
Alaska Senate Election Winner
Mary Peltola
57%
Dan Sullivan
44%
Ann Diener
0%
5 outcomes$433K vol
Politics+4 pts
Wisconsin Governor Election Winner
David Crowley (D)
82%
Tom Tiffany (R)
19%
2 outcomes$431K vol
Politics-15 pts
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
Ryan Salame
24%
Donald Brodie
21%
Matt Gaetz
21%
24 outcomes$427K vol
Politics
Wyoming Governor Republican Primary Winner
Joseph Kibler
0%
Reid Rasner
0%
Bo Biteman
0%
12 outcomes$420K vol
Politics+1 pt
ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?
Not Extended & Democratic Party
89%
Not Extended & Republican Party
11%
2 outcomes$405K vol